JOHN ZOGBY: "REAL STORY IS DEAN’S RISE"


Following up on the KCCI poll released Thursday, in which Howard Dean surged into a second-place tie in Iowa, the latest Zogby poll of New Hampshire voters confirms that Howard Dean is the only candidate advancing in the key states of Iowa and New Hampshire.

According to the Zogby poll of New Hampshire voters, Howard Dean has advanced 9 points in New Hampshire since February. Dean is tied for the lead in the Granite State with John Kerry, who has lost some traction in the state since the spring. Zogby writes:

In February New Hampshire polling by Zogby International, Kerry enjoyed a 2-1 lead over Dean, 26% – 13%, with Gephardt at 11% and Lieberman at 9% .

The results of the current poll, conducted June 4-7, show Governor Howard Dean at 22%, in a statistical tie with John Kerry (25%). Lieberman was a “distant third” at 10%, while Gephardt fell to 7%. The margin of error for the poll is +/- 4.1%.

John Zogby summed up the poll by writing: The real story here is Dean’s rise.

Indeed, comparing the latest polls, while Gephardt rose in Iowa, he fell in NH. Kerry lost one percentage point in New Hampshire and fell six points in Iowa. Only Dean advanced in both states.

Also in the New Hampshire poll, 27% of voters were still undecided. 36% of voters had yet to become familiar with Governor Dean, while only 12% of respondents were unfamiliar with John Kerry, suggesting that Dean has the stronger chance of winning over those who are still looking for a candidate to support.

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